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logowares.gif (6217 bytes)Introduction to e-Business:

How to Make Money in an Age of Transition

January 27, 2005
MBA 600
Multimedia Applications in Business

other course pages
welcome | course | syllabus | case | bistro | reports | roundtable

this page
eBusiness | Planning to Succeed | The Always-On Commons
How Information Flows | Alphabet Soup | RFID Tames the Bullwhip


Professional Expectations
how geeky are you?

The (hard to measure) goals of this course:

To develop a more accurate mental model of the driving and restraining forces affecting what digital networks are doing to organizations and economies.

How will you know? Your fluent use of vocabulary and the sophistication of your ideas at the Bistro and during oral presentations

To maintain a complex web site.

How will you know? Your online portfolio (web site); your laptop's web development toolkit

To use the Internet to responsibly and professionally communicate, present, research, and collaborate.

How will you know? The shifting balance among oral, print, and online information transfer, for example, your homework, presentations, and class participation

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e-Business
The Effects of the Internet

The easy to measure goal of this course:

to develop a business / marketing plan designed to compete in the pop music industry in an age of transition

Some quick definitions: what's the difference between e-business and e-commerce?

Port 80's The Docks
Systems and Processes: e-Business

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Planning to Succeed

In this course, we are going to collaborate on a business plan and marketing plan designed to compete with the Big Five -- now Big Four -- record labels. In order to write an informed and propitious plan, you need to learn more about how that industry works. It is currently under great stress from the driving force of the Internet, so it makes an interesting case study of an industry especially vulnerable to competition. Right now, the four/five largest companies that have 80% of the market are not growing as fast as they would like to. So they're suing their customers. Talk about a revenue model!!

It begs the question of why growth is so important. Why can't they just adapt to a shrinking market? The transportation industry has many examples from horses to trains to cars to 18-wheelers. Other segments of the entertainment industry have many examples: live theater to movies to TV to VCR to DVD. What's so special about the pop music industry?

What will our business plan look like? outline for your plan

example - BPlan.com's Edgar Risk Ventures, Ltd.

I am going to adapt the standard plan outline for our purposes. For example, at this stage of R&D, any financials you come up with are going to be whimsical, at best. Thus, in the section of your business plan on Financials, we'll probably just use some ballpark numbers or maybe we can use US Economic Census statistics to draw a portrait of the industry as a whole.

The last night of class, you -- alone or with a partner -- are going to take turns presenting your plan. You will be the principal author and steward of the ideas.

For the next two months, we will go through the parts of a business plan in order of development, not in order of their final presentation.

Internet in class

We are going to use the Internet for all the things you used it in MBA 504. The course web has the same pages, reports, syllabus, case, roundtable, news. You'll learn more about doing research online, harvesting information, and displaying the results of your research on your Plaza web in a professional-looking web page. These pages will include images that you will want to crop and resize in Paint Shop Pro.

In MBA 600, you'll spend more time in the Port 80 section than you will in the Gizmos,  Inc., section. You'll make a couple of web pages to show during oral presentations. You'll use the Bistro for weather reports and roundtables. Hopefully, you'll keep up with the discussions in some of the other forums, such as Ask Stephanie and MBA SO.

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Key concepts

If we're here by 9 PM, that would be good

The Always-On Commons:
Our Culture, Our Heritage

What is the Internet?

The networks that comprise the Internet are things, however. Cobbled together from peering agreements among the networks (they freely exchange bit steams without accounting), they make a built environment. The Internet has a nature, but it is not natural. That nature can change. It can be un-built and re-built.

You've been aware of the Internet for at least a decade or so. At some point, you started participating. You may not like it, but you can't avoid it.

Your mental model of the Internet has developed slowly and as the result of personal experience rather than from learning about it in a textbook like you might learn about the railroad system or the telephone system.

I hope that these first three web pages below confirm your mental model. However, I suspect that the vision they present will contradict at least parts of your mental model.

What will you do? Stick with your old mental model? Or change it? To what?

What the Internet is like now:

World of Ends
The Paradox of the Best Network
Rise of the Stupid Network

These next three web pages, from Ricci Street's Port 80, are full of links that will take you off in a thousand directions. I'd like you to read the three pages and then to explore as far beyond as you have time and interest.

New Media aka Distributed Networks
What is the Internet
Who Runs the Internet?

The Internet is an agreement to share data among computers. These computers are networked via copper and glass fibers and via radio waves. This network of computers has several features that distinguish it from other networks:

digital as opposed to analog (C-A-T as opposed to a picture of a cat)

binary, which means two (ones and zeros), as opposed to other digital systems such as DNA, which has four "letters", or our English alphanumeric system, which has about forty if you toss in a few punctuation marks

packet-switched as opposed to the telephone's circuit-switched

distributed heterarchically like a fishnet as opposed to hierarchically like your employer's org chart (above right)

standardized on openly developed (as opposed to proprietary, secret) protocols such as transmission control protocol / Internet protocol (TCP/IP) and hypertext transfer protocol (HTTP)

The Internet is an open-source self-organizing adaptive many-to-many peer-to-peer international file-sharing public collaborative agreement based on human goodwill, which means it's teetering on anarchy. In human culture, this commons has the fertile ground of innovation.

In this sense, the Internet differs from most business organizations, which are top-down, inflexible, information-hoarding, for-profit corporations with legal status. These organizations have been built over the last hundred years with legal protections and sanctions. The commercial code of laws and the regulations supporting them are voluminous, contradictory, overwhelming, confusing, and hard to follow in practice. And expensive. The cost is measured in the billions of dollars annually. Since the last presidential election, they have increased dramatically. Business has never been as regulated in the U.S. as it is now.

Washington's Ten Thousand Commandments
An Annual Snapshot of the Federal Regulatory State
by Clyde Wayne Crews Jr.
Cato Institute, July 2003

The exact cost of federal regulations can never be fully known. Firms generally pass along to consumers some of the costs of the taxes they are required to pay. Similarly, some of the costs of regulations, although generally imposed on businesses, get passed on to consumers. But governmental and private data exist on scores of regulations and the agencies that issue them, as well as on regulatory costs and benefits, some of which can be compiled in a way that makes the regulatory state more comprehensible to the public. That is the purpose of the annual Ten Thousand Commandments report, some highlights of which appear below.

• The 2002 Federal Register contained an alltime record 75,606 pages, a nearly 9 percent increase over 2001.

• In 2002, 4,167 final rules were issued by agencies.

• In the 2002 Unified Agenda, agencies reported on 4,187 regulations that were at various stages of implementation throughout the 50-plus federal departments, agencies, and commissions.
 
• Of these 4,187 regulations now in the regulatory pipeline, 135 are “economically significant” rules that will have at least $100 million in economic impact. Those rules will impose at least $13.5 billion yearly in future off-budget costs.

An enormous amount of resources goes to managers to comply and to accountants to assure and to lawyers to influence judges and legislators and regulators.

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Limits of the Internet

At this point, you can't have the Internet without electricity. There are six billion people in the world. According to the International Telecommunication Union, two-thirds of them have never used a telephone (and according to my study of history, never will use one). This informative but large (600K) image from NASA (partial thumbnail below) shows you how little of the world that the World Wide Web could cover. David Gram pointed me to it in an email that read, in part:

The image is a panoramic view of the world from the new Boeing-built space station taken last November on a perfect night with no obscuring atmospheric conditions. It is a night photo with the lights clearly indicating the populated areas. You can scroll East-West and North-South. Note that Canada's population is almost exclusively along the U.S. border. Moving east to Europe, there is a high population concentration along the Mediterranean Coast. It's easy to spot London, Paris, Stockholm and Vienna. Check out the development of Israel compared to that of the Arab countries. Note the Nile River and the rest of the "Dark Continent". After the Nile, the lights don't come on again until Johannesburg.

carryover from MBA 504

Tools vs jobs

What is open source?

What is p2p? (Gizmos Toolkit Instant Messaging page)

structured information: tree hierarchy on your hard drive | in a document

Fighting (with) Hierarchies
By Gerd Waloszek
SAP Design Guild, March 9, 2002

Concept maps: models | business models | mental models | concept maps

Bits and atoms are terms used to understand the difference between the "real" world and the "virtual" world, along with analog/digital and old media/new media.

atoms

analog

old media

static

textbook

bits

digital

new media

dynamic

Ricci Street

What's behind it all? It's scalable and extensible. Moore's Law

The Driving Forces of the Internet

Diffusion of Innovation

Survival is Not Enough
by Seth Godin
Fast Company, January 2002

Just in case you weren't paying attention: We live in turbulent times. In five months, Napster went from having 1 million to 10 million users. Eleven months later, it had 80 million users -- the most successful technology introduction of all time. And then it essentially went out of business. (Now it's back again -- maybe.)

Last year, 17,000 new grocery products were introduced. Yet the average grocery store stocks only 30,000 items.

Is there any question as to what's going on here?

Everything in our world -- from marketing to technology to distribution to capital markets -- is changing faster than ever (and not always in the same direction). Yet most companies are clueless about what's causing the change, how it might affect them, and, most important, what to do about it. Successful businesses hate change. People with great jobs hate change. Market leaders seek out and cherish dependable systems.

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How Information Flows

The Hype

Five years now after it was first announced, it's hard to find much about "eGM", especially on the GM Web site. It seems to have shifted buzzwords and become the "New GM", according to Cherri Musser, who has a telling job title: Process Information Officer of Supply Chain & Chief Information Officer for eGM. In the spring of 2001, she gave a PowerPoint presentation titled The Next 48 Months (.ppt  1.06 MB):

GM is leveraging technology to streamline its processes and enhance internal / external communication

Real-time integrated business processes -- dealer, manufacturer, supplier

Sufficient supply chain visibility

GM is committed to engaging the customer and fulfilling customer needs throughout the owner lifecycle

GM is positioning itself to move towards a Build to Order model

Build to Order means that they won't build the car until you order it, they'll get it to you in less than three weeks, AND they'll still make money. The key is in the first three bullet points about sharing information: streamlined, integrated, and visible.

We're more than four years past Ms. Musser's presentation. Did it happen?

The Reality

Meanwhile, with the exceptions of the GMs and the some brand-new Internet companies, our organizations operate more or less as they always have. We have networked our computers, but we ask the same staff do the same things in the same way. Most organizations have yet to rearrange their machines and re-design their work flows ("streamline" "integrated" "visibility"). The relationship between power and information is still premised on paper and atoms not networks and bits. GM executives now acknowledge with some humility how long it will take to drive information culture deep into the ranks of the company.

Take the "drive deep" part literally. In spite of Ms. Musser's presentation, to get GM's employees to embrace "information culture", to think differently about information, will take many years and cause many employees to find employment elsewhere. Those who stay will resist all but superficial changes and absolutely unavoidable changes. To the extent that GM is successful, their organizational chart will flatten. Middle management jobs will be lost to more efficient information flow. Upper management especially will feel betrayed, that the rules they played by have changed. When Ms. Musser tells you, "Sufficient supply chain visibility," she's telling management, "Your personal control of information is decreasing drastically." That's a slippery slope. Soon everyone's going to know everyone's business. It won't be pretty.

Let's look at General Electric.

The Hype that Jack Built: General Electric's Spin Machine (no longer available online)
by Mark Roberti
The Industry Standard, January 22, 2001

This article elaborates the difference between what GE wants the Internet to do and what the Internet is really doing at GE. While praising its attempt, the article compares GE's performance unfavorably to other companies'.

Here's how Jack Welch got those early attempts going:

The story goes something like this. In late 1998, Jack Welch noticed GE employees shopping online. At home, his wife was buying gifts on the Web for the grandchildren. Suddenly, Welch "got" the Net. At an annual meeting of 500 of GE's top executives in Boca Raton, Fla., in January 1999, Welch ordered everyone to come up with a strategy for moving their businesses online. The executives were to set up "Destroyourbusiness.com" teams. The aim: Reinvent each unit's business before some upstart in a Silicon Valley garage did.

But the execs knew nothing about the Web. So Welch took an idea he'd heard about while visiting a subsidiary in Europe and made it a corporation-wide mandate: Some 1,000 Web-savvy employees were assigned to mentor senior executives about the Internet. Even Welch got a mentor. Armed with the wisdom of people like Stuart, the red-haired slacker who tutors the old-line executive in the Ameritrade commercial, the remaking of GE was under way. The teams got beer parties and brightly colored offices, an attempt to create a proper dot-com aura. Eventually, they discovered that there probably weren't any Internet entrepreneurs hiding out in Silicon Valley devising ways to sell turbines or aircraft engines online. With that fear laid to rest, the teams were transformed into "Growyourbusiness.com" units. Later, they were disbanded altogether, and e-business was brought into the mainstream of GE's operations.

The following article probably isn't available still for free, but the quote below says enough.

Local man transforming GM into e-commerce firm
by Matt Glynn
Buffalo News, November 10, 2000

Kutner said it's not easy selling his fellow GM executives on his e-commerce message. "Driving a culture change in this company, and in any big company, especially an established company, is a very difficult job.

"There's still a lot of people who still don't believe we have to be connected in everything we do, from the Internet to the home to the cars and the office," he said. "Some of those people will not fit anymore in our company and are going to have to go. So for those of you who want to do something exciting and want to change, there's lots of opportunities for young people in all the industries in North America, because we all have to do this."

You don't fit. You're going to have to go. That's called management by fear.

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Alphabet Soup

Port 80's The Docks
Systems and Processes: Alphabet Soup

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RFID Tames the Bullwhip

Port 80's Charthouse
Frameworks for the Future:
Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) Tames the Bullwhip

I am always doing what I cannot do, in order that I may learn how to do it.
-- Pablo Picasso

Slogans and Mantras

the network is the computer

hyperlinks subvert hierarchy

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modified: January 27, 2005
by Douglas Anderson
http://RicciStreet.net/dwares/lane/mba600/jan2705.htm